Time series analysis and forecasting

The theoretical and methodological aspects of modeling socio-economic phenomena and processes are considered. Dana Characteristics of temporary rows. The features of the statistical analysis of one-dimensional time series are shown. The models of periodic oscillations and connected time series are described. Particular attention is paid to forecasting socio-economic phenomena and processes: description of methods for forecasting extrapolation, types of prediction, assessment and reliability of forecasts. The textbook is complemented by a list of terms, tasks for independent work and applications with reference information.
For students of the economic specialties of higher educational institutions. Postgraduate students, teachers and practitioners engaged in the application of methods of statistical analysis and forecasting in the economy and the social sphere can be useful