The future is faster than you think. How technologies change business, industry and our life
Please sign in so that we can notify you about a reply
The forecast for the development of modern technologies and their convergence in the coming decades from the authors of the bestseller abundance of Peter Diamandis and scientific journalist Stephen Kotler.
This is a book about how some modern technologies (for example, artificial intelligence), combining with others (for example, with augmented reality), are fundamentally transformed and rewritten according to the new rules, the work of industry, retail trade, advertising, entertainment industry, the entertainment industrial Education and many other spheres of our lives. Moreover, this process goes on an exponentially increasing pace, giving turbows both the pace of changes in the world and their scale.
Today, almost all leading industries are on the verge of a complete transformation. Before entrepreneurs, innovators, leaders and everyone who can consider and catch this trend, previously unprecedented opportunities open. And this future is closer than we think. The authors analyze the most common trends and their transforming impact on business, industry and our lives. So fasten your belts and get ready, a dizzying race awaits you.
For whom the book
For managers and entrepreneurs who look into the future and find in it opportunities for development.
For those who are interested in the development of technologies and business processes.
For everyone who is interested in the future of mankind.
From the authors
In our previous books “Abundance” and “Without Brakes”, we introduced the concept of exponentially accelerating technology, understanding any technology by it, which, through regular intervals of time, doubles its capabilities and at the same time loses in price. A classic example is the Law of Moore. In 1965, the founder of Intel Gordon Moore noticed that the number of transistors that are placed on the integral scheme of transistors is doubled every 18 months. And this meant that every one and a half years, computers double their power, without adding in price.
Moore considered it amazing. He predicted that such a trend will last a few more years, maybe five, or even all ten. And she lasted 20 years and 40, and all 60 gathered. It is the Law of Moore that explains why the smartphone in your pocket is a thousand times less, a thousand times cheaper and a thousand times more powerful than a supercomputer from the 1970s.
Moreover, the trend does not slow down.
Despite all the reports of the close “thermal death” of the Moore law in 2023. The average thousand -eater laptop will acquire the same computing power as in the human brain (about 1016 operations per second) And after 25 years the same middle hand, the device is equal to computing power with the total mental power of the brains of all living humanity.
But what is even more important, not only integral schemes progress at such a pace. In the 1990s, Google Technical Director and Partner of Peter, co-founder of the University of Singolarity, Ray Kurzweil noted that it is worth becoming digital technology-in the sense of the possibility of programming it using units and zeros of computer code-how it jumps on the law of Moore and begins to exponentially accelerate.
Simply, we use our new computers to design new even more fast computers, and this creates a positive feedback loop that accelerates our acceleration even more. Kurzweil calls this the law of accelerating return. The technologies that are now developing such an accelerating pace include a number of the most powerful innovations that we still could only dream of: quantum computers, artificial intelligence, robotization, nanotechnology, biotechnology, materials science, networks, sensors, 3D packets, augmented reality , virtual reality, blockchain and much more.
And yet, for all its radicality, this progress is actually nothing more than yesterday"s news. And the fresh ones are that some previously independent waves of exponentially developing technologies begin to converge (conversion) with others. For example, the rate of drug development increases not only due to the exponential progress of biotechnologies, but also due to artificial intelligence, quantum calculations and a couple of other exponentially developing technologies that all converge in this field. In other words, these waves began to overlap, pour one to another and form the giants of the tsunamical scope, threatening to sweep away everything that they come across in the way.
If a recent innovation creates a new market and destroys the existing one, we characterize it as subversive. When at the beginning of the digital era, Silicon microcircuits replaced the vacuum tubes, it was precisely subversive innovation. But when exponential technologies converge, their potential acquires a larger scale. Single exponential technologies undermine products, services and markets - just as Netflix, without choked, swallowed the BlockBuster video distribution network - and convergent exponential technologies sweep out products, services and markets, and at the same time the structures supporting them are also supporting them.
However, we ran forward. All that you have to read in this book is just devoted to these powerful forces and their rapid revolutionary influence on the established order of things
This is a book about how some modern technologies (for example, artificial intelligence), combining with others (for example, with augmented reality), are fundamentally transformed and rewritten according to the new rules, the work of industry, retail trade, advertising, entertainment industry, the entertainment industrial Education and many other spheres of our lives. Moreover, this process goes on an exponentially increasing pace, giving turbows both the pace of changes in the world and their scale.
Today, almost all leading industries are on the verge of a complete transformation. Before entrepreneurs, innovators, leaders and everyone who can consider and catch this trend, previously unprecedented opportunities open. And this future is closer than we think. The authors analyze the most common trends and their transforming impact on business, industry and our lives. So fasten your belts and get ready, a dizzying race awaits you.
For whom the book
For managers and entrepreneurs who look into the future and find in it opportunities for development.
For those who are interested in the development of technologies and business processes.
For everyone who is interested in the future of mankind.
From the authors
In our previous books “Abundance” and “Without Brakes”, we introduced the concept of exponentially accelerating technology, understanding any technology by it, which, through regular intervals of time, doubles its capabilities and at the same time loses in price. A classic example is the Law of Moore. In 1965, the founder of Intel Gordon Moore noticed that the number of transistors that are placed on the integral scheme of transistors is doubled every 18 months. And this meant that every one and a half years, computers double their power, without adding in price.
Moore considered it amazing. He predicted that such a trend will last a few more years, maybe five, or even all ten. And she lasted 20 years and 40, and all 60 gathered. It is the Law of Moore that explains why the smartphone in your pocket is a thousand times less, a thousand times cheaper and a thousand times more powerful than a supercomputer from the 1970s.
Moreover, the trend does not slow down.
Despite all the reports of the close “thermal death” of the Moore law in 2023. The average thousand -eater laptop will acquire the same computing power as in the human brain (about 1016 operations per second) And after 25 years the same middle hand, the device is equal to computing power with the total mental power of the brains of all living humanity.
But what is even more important, not only integral schemes progress at such a pace. In the 1990s, Google Technical Director and Partner of Peter, co-founder of the University of Singolarity, Ray Kurzweil noted that it is worth becoming digital technology-in the sense of the possibility of programming it using units and zeros of computer code-how it jumps on the law of Moore and begins to exponentially accelerate.
Simply, we use our new computers to design new even more fast computers, and this creates a positive feedback loop that accelerates our acceleration even more. Kurzweil calls this the law of accelerating return. The technologies that are now developing such an accelerating pace include a number of the most powerful innovations that we still could only dream of: quantum computers, artificial intelligence, robotization, nanotechnology, biotechnology, materials science, networks, sensors, 3D packets, augmented reality , virtual reality, blockchain and much more.
And yet, for all its radicality, this progress is actually nothing more than yesterday"s news. And the fresh ones are that some previously independent waves of exponentially developing technologies begin to converge (conversion) with others. For example, the rate of drug development increases not only due to the exponential progress of biotechnologies, but also due to artificial intelligence, quantum calculations and a couple of other exponentially developing technologies that all converge in this field. In other words, these waves began to overlap, pour one to another and form the giants of the tsunamical scope, threatening to sweep away everything that they come across in the way.
If a recent innovation creates a new market and destroys the existing one, we characterize it as subversive. When at the beginning of the digital era, Silicon microcircuits replaced the vacuum tubes, it was precisely subversive innovation. But when exponential technologies converge, their potential acquires a larger scale. Single exponential technologies undermine products, services and markets - just as Netflix, without choked, swallowed the BlockBuster video distribution network - and convergent exponential technologies sweep out products, services and markets, and at the same time the structures supporting them are also supporting them.
However, we ran forward. All that you have to read in this book is just devoted to these powerful forces and their rapid revolutionary influence on the established order of things
Author:
Author:Peter Diamandis, Stephen Kotler
Cover:
Cover:Soft
Category:
- Category:Business & Money
Publication language:
Publication Language:Russian
Paper:
Paper:Offset
Series:
Series: Myth. BUSINESS
Age restrictions:
Age restrictions:16+
ISBN:
ISBN:978-5-00169-464-9
No reviews found