Bewildered by chance: The hidden role of chance in business and in life
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Accident, luck, chance, uncertainty, human mistakes, risk and decision -making in the world that we do not understand are the topics inexhaustible in their versatility that the successful trader, mathematician and philosopher Nysim Taleb, preparing us for a worthy meeting face to a person with challenges and unforeseen events of any kind.
“The probability is not so much the calculation of the chances when throwing bones as a recognition of the lack of certainty in our knowledge and the development of methods for treating our ignorance. Outside the textbooks and casino, the probability almost never appears in the form of a mathematical task or riddle for the mind. Mother Nature will not tell you how many holes there are on the table for playing roulette, and she formulates the task not in the style that is accepted in textbooks (in the real world it is necessary to look for a problem, not a solution) The probabilistic thinking underlying this book suggests that if alternative outcomes were realized, the world would be different. ” (Nysim Nicholas Taleb)
“The probability is not so much the calculation of the chances when throwing bones as a recognition of the lack of certainty in our knowledge and the development of methods for treating our ignorance. Outside the textbooks and casino, the probability almost never appears in the form of a mathematical task or riddle for the mind. Mother Nature will not tell you how many holes there are on the table for playing roulette, and she formulates the task not in the style that is accepted in textbooks (in the real world it is necessary to look for a problem, not a solution) The probabilistic thinking underlying this book suggests that if alternative outcomes were realized, the world would be different. ” (Nysim Nicholas Taleb)
Author:
Author:Талеб Нассим Николас
Cover:
Cover:Hard
Category:
- Category:Business & Money
Publication language:
Publication Language:Russian
Age restrictions:
Age restrictions:16+
ISBN:
ISBN:978-5-389-19974-3
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